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Vale S.A. ADR (NYSE: VALE) pounding technical traders

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In the spirit of strong objective analysis, we are going to take a close look at Vale S.A. ADR (NYSE: VALE) from a technical chartist point of view today.

In short, technical analysis assumes that all publicly available facts about a stock are already discounted by knowledgeable buyers and sellers. And it is from there that the real work begins: examining the stock’s behavior on the chart.

As such, we will begin with a quick check of the primary oscillators: the 14-day Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) and the 20-day “fast stochastic”. Both of these measures report on the degree to which a security is “overbought” or “oversold” – ie, whether it has gone too far too fast in one direction or the other, and some kind of mean-reversion is called for. In each case, an indicator score of above 75 is considered overbought, while a score under 25 is considered oversold.

In the case of Vale S.A. ADR, the 14-day RSI stands at 41.47%, while the past month of action shows a score of 45.30% on the fast stochastic.

Well, what if we now look away from “mean-reversion” and towards the concept of “trend”? That comprises our next step. To do this, we will start off by examining the most common systematic technical method of determining the direction of long-term trend in a stock: moving averages.

In the most basic sense, we can see that VALE has recently been exhibiting a bearing on the chart that suggests an overall bullish mode of behavior. This “read” comes from a look at the relative positioning of the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages: if the 50-day is trading above the 200-day, momentum is to the upside making a bull case for trend; if the 50-day is trading below the 200-day, momentum is to the downside, making a bear case for trend.

In this example, that system makes a bullish case, which naturally implies a positive money flow scenario for the stock.

So, we’ve spent some time looking at price as a factor.

But what about volume? In fact, many technicians view volume as more important than price. Volume defines the total level of participation involved in a stock. It’s a coefficient of “meaning” that should be metaphorically multiplied times price action to equal “conviction”.

In this case, we want to examine relative volume measures to get a feel for interest in the stock of late. Right now, this stock has been showing weak relative volume, which indicates lack of interest among those making a market for shares of the stock.

Next, we will turn to key levels. We always like to start this with a look at the key Fib levels. “Fib” refers to “Fibonacci”, which is the number series that works toward a ratio limit of the Golden Ratio, often found as a key in nature as well as markets.

In this case, the critical 38.2% level drawn off the 52-week high of $11.72 sits at $9.25.

VALE also has additional resistance above at the stock’s 200-day simple moving average, which sits at N/A.

While price action, trends, and volume are important, for traders, volatility may be as important as anything in defining the potential opportunity in a stock. Hence, we want to take a moment and consider this stock’s overall range of movement, as well as its relative performance.

VALE has moved -0.08 over the past month or so. Over the trailing 100 days, the stock is outperforming the S&P 500 by 13.35. This movement has come on a more volatile bearing from one day to the next relative to the broader market, according to the stock’s 36-month beta.

Similarly,  we can see that the stock’s recent action has come on a historical volatility score of 32.00%. To get that score, one has to take the standard deviation of returns for a random trading input assuming buying the stock at a given average price during the specified period.

On a more basic level, one might look at the 20-day ATR as a percentage of its 20-day moving average. That measure gives us a volatility score of 3431.25.

Naturally, we will continue to keep close tabs on the stock and update this picture again soon.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

I graduated from UCSD with a degree in Journalism. With more than 5 years of experience in freelance journalism, my forte is covering stock fundamentals.

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This info on Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) could trigger a massive change in trading

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Stock of Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) opened today at $10.300 and are currently trading at $10.380 x 62800. More than 8,852,010 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 14,630,910 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 67.18B. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $11.11 for Petróleo Brasileiro S.

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) currently has a Beta value of 2.60. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at Petróleo Brasileiro S current P/E ratio. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) currently has a PE ratio of -24.62. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Petróleo Brasileiro S beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Petróleo Brasileiro S EPS for the trailing twelve months was -0.42. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Petróleo Brasileiro S is estimated to release its next earnings report on N/A. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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MannKind Corporation (MNKD) – ‘A Blessing In Disguise’ For Investors

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Stock of MannKind Corporation (MNKD) opened today at $3.9000 and are currently trading at $3.9600 x 1800. More than 8,989,855 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 7,002,087 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 412.08M. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $7.00 for MannKind Corporation (MNKD).

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) currently has a Beta value of 2.67. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at MannKind Corporation (MNKD) current P/E ratio. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) currently has a PE ratio of 2.97. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at MannKind Corporation (MNKD) beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) EPS for the trailing twelve months was 1.33. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) is estimated to release its next earnings report on Mar 13, 2017 – Mar 17, 2017. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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Why Transocean Ltd. (RIG) could blow up your portfolio

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Stock of Transocean Ltd. (RIG) opened today at $10.13 and are currently trading at $10.04 x 9100. More than 9,522,367 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 17,545,667 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 3.93B. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $11.43 for Transocean Ltd.

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Transocean Ltd. (RIG) currently has a Beta value of 1.73. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at Transocean Ltd current P/E ratio. Transocean Ltd. (RIG) currently has a PE ratio of -3.32. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Transocean Ltd beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Transocean Ltd EPS for the trailing twelve months was -3.02. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Transocean Ltd is estimated to release its next earnings report on Oct 31, 2017 – Nov 6, 2017. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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