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Things investors didnt know about JD.com Inc. ADR (NASDAQ: JD)

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Today’s object of technical analysis is JD.com, Inc. (JD). After one does a thorough job of checking for chinks in the armor on the fundamental side, the work of due diligence is only just beginning. The next step is to make sure the technical character of the chart matches the story in an advantageous way. We will look at some of the key points in that analysis today for JD.

First off, when looking at the overall directional impact of recent money flows, we will use the relative positioning of the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. In other words, if the 50-day moving average is trading above the 200-day, it is traditionally seen as a bullish chart trend. Conversely, if the 50-day moving average is trading below the 200-day, it is traditionally labeled a bearish trend or bearing.

In this case, for JD, that adds up to a bullish designation, which suggests that flows have been working in an overall positive direction on the chart. With that established, the question now turns to whether or not key indicators suggest the action has pushed too far too fast, leading to a statistically likely mean-reversion probability going forward.

For that, we rely on our key overbought/oversold oscillators. There are many out there, but we prefer the 14-day Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) and the 20-day “fast stochastic”. For both of these measures, if we see a score above 75 (overbought) or below 25 (oversold), history suggests one is wise to expect some reversion to the mean. For JD, the 14-day RSI shows a score of 40.87%, while the 20-day fast stochastic shows a score of 33.18%.

From there, we want to next turn our attention to relative performance and volatility scoring, or Beta. JD.com, Inc. has moved +0.91 over the past month or so. Over the trailing 100 days, the stock is outperforming the S&P 500 by 12.02.

This movement has come on a more volatile bearing from one day to the next relative to the broader market, according to the stock’s 36-month beta. In addition, we can see that the stock’s recent action has come on a historical volatility score of 30.56% (as indicated by taking the standard deviation of returns for a random trading input assuming buying the stock at a given average price during the specified period). Furthermore, the 20-day ATR as a percentage of the 20-day moving average grants another key view into relative volatility scoring. By that measure, we reach a score of 3.14%.

That brings us neatly to an examination of key levels of support and resistance on the chart. For this, we generally bias toward range markets, fib levels, and moving averages. In any of these cases, it’s important to understand that the concept of support and resistance is a bit like what we might call “social gravity”. It’s a game theory concept. It’s the point where people assume other people will be acting.

Keynes called this type of logic the beauty contest. The idea is based on a fictional newspaper contest in which people are asked to pick which of a series of pictures of women’s faces will be the most popular picks for “most beautiful”. Given that the winner will be someone who guesses what other people picked the most, the goal has nothing to do with picking the most beautiful face. It is figuring out which picture the most other people will think the most other people will think is the most beautiful. This is called “recursive logic”. And it forms the basis for key support and resistance in markets as well.

In short, popular meeting points on the chart tend to be established either where they have been before (range extremes), or at key Fibonacci levels or moving averages. In this case, the critical 38.2% level drawn off the 52-week high of $48.99 sits at $39.21. JD also has additional resistance above at the stock’s 200-day simple moving average, which sits at $ 35.86.

Lastly, we need to quickly cover relative volume. Here, we want to examine relative volume measures to get a feel for interest in the stock of late. Right now, this stock has been showing weak relative volume, which indicates lack of interest among those making a market for shares of the stock, and that should be seen as a key factor in drawing conclusions about your level of interest as well.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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This info on Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) could trigger a massive change in trading

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Stock of Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) opened today at $10.300 and are currently trading at $10.380 x 62800. More than 8,852,010 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 14,630,910 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 67.18B. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $11.11 for Petróleo Brasileiro S.

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) currently has a Beta value of 2.60. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at Petróleo Brasileiro S current P/E ratio. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR) currently has a PE ratio of -24.62. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Petróleo Brasileiro S beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Petróleo Brasileiro S EPS for the trailing twelve months was -0.42. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Petróleo Brasileiro S is estimated to release its next earnings report on N/A. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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MannKind Corporation (MNKD) – ‘A Blessing In Disguise’ For Investors

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Stock of MannKind Corporation (MNKD) opened today at $3.9000 and are currently trading at $3.9600 x 1800. More than 8,989,855 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 7,002,087 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 412.08M. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $7.00 for MannKind Corporation (MNKD).

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) currently has a Beta value of 2.67. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at MannKind Corporation (MNKD) current P/E ratio. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) currently has a PE ratio of 2.97. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at MannKind Corporation (MNKD) beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) EPS for the trailing twelve months was 1.33. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. MannKind Corporation (MNKD) is estimated to release its next earnings report on Mar 13, 2017 – Mar 17, 2017. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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Why Transocean Ltd. (RIG) could blow up your portfolio

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Stock of Transocean Ltd. (RIG) opened today at $10.13 and are currently trading at $10.04 x 9100. More than 9,522,367 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 17,545,667 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 3.93B. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $11.43 for Transocean Ltd.

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Transocean Ltd. (RIG) currently has a Beta value of 1.73. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at Transocean Ltd current P/E ratio. Transocean Ltd. (RIG) currently has a PE ratio of -3.32. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Transocean Ltd beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Transocean Ltd EPS for the trailing twelve months was -3.02. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Transocean Ltd is estimated to release its next earnings report on Oct 31, 2017 – Nov 6, 2017. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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