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Technical Analysis Reveals A Different Story About Celsion Corp. (CLSN)

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Today’s object of technical analysis is Celsion Corporation (CLSN). After one does a thorough job of checking for chinks in the armor on the fundamental side, the work of due diligence is only just beginning. The next step is to make sure the technical character of the chart matches the story in an advantageous way. We will look at some of the key points in that analysis today for CLSN.

First off, when looking at the overall directional impact of recent money flows, we will use the relative positioning of the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. In other words, if the 50-day moving average is trading above the 200-day, it is traditionally seen as a bullish chart trend. Conversely, if the 50-day moving average is trading below the 200-day, it is traditionally labeled a bearish trend or bearing.

In this case, for CLSN, that adds up to a bearish designation, which suggests that flows have been working in an overall negative direction on the chart. With that established, the question now turns to whether or not key indicators suggest the action has pushed too far too fast, leading to a statistically likely mean-reversion probability going forward.

For that, we rely on our key overbought/oversold oscillators. There are many out there, but we prefer the 14-day Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) and the 20-day “fast stochastic”. For both of these measures, if we see a score above 75 (overbought) or below 25 (oversold), history suggests one is wise to expect some reversion to the mean. For CLSN, the 14-day RSI shows a score of 84.84%, while the 20-day fast stochastic shows a score of 60.34%.

From there, we want to next turn our attention to relative performance and volatility scoring, or Beta. Celsion Corporation has moved +1.47 over the past month or so. Over the trailing 100 days, the stock is underperforming the S&P 500 by 22.42.

This movement has come on a less volatile bearing from one day to the next relative to the broader market, according to the stock’s 36-month beta. In addition, we can see that the stock’s recent action has come on a historical volatility score of 218.08% (as indicated by taking the standard deviation of returns for a random trading input assuming buying the stock at a given average price during the specified period). Furthermore, the 20-day ATR as a percentage of the 20-day moving average grants another key view into relative volatility scoring. By that measure, we reach a score of 11.69%.

That brings us neatly to an examination of key levels of support and resistance on the chart. For this, we generally bias toward range markets, fib levels, and moving averages. In any of these cases, it’s important to understand that the concept of support and resistance is a bit like what we might call “social gravity”. It’s a game theory concept. It’s the point where people assume other people will be acting.

Keynes called this type of logic the beauty contest. The idea is based on a fictional newspaper contest in which people are asked to pick which of a series of pictures of women’s faces will be the most popular picks for “most beautiful”. Given that the winner will be someone who guesses what other people picked the most, the goal has nothing to do with picking the most beautiful face. It is figuring out which picture the most other people will think the most other people will think is the most beautiful. This is called “recursive logic”. And it forms the basis for key support and resistance in markets as well.

In short, popular meeting points on the chart tend to be established either where they have been before (range extremes), or at key Fibonacci levels or moving averages. In this case, the critical 38.2% level drawn off the 52-week low of $1.24 sits at $7.34. CLSN also has additional resistance above at the stock’s 200-day simple moving average, which sits at $ 3.16.

Lastly, we need to quickly cover relative volume. Here, we want to examine relative volume measures to get a feel for interest in the stock of late. Right now, this stock has been showing weak relative volume, which indicates lack of interest among those making a market for shares of the stock, and that should be seen as a key factor in drawing conclusions about your level of interest as well.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

I graduated from UCSD with a degree in Journalism. With more than 5 years of experience in freelance journalism, my forte is covering stock fundamentals.

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Why Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) could blow up your portfolio

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Stock of Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) opened today at $39.60 and are currently trading at $41.55 x 300. More than 136 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 365,484 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 1.35B. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $43.71 for Hub Group, Inc.

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) currently has a Beta value of 1.96. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at Hub Group, Inc current P/E ratio. Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) currently has a PE ratio of 23.59. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Hub Group, Inc beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Hub Group, Inc EPS for the trailing twelve months was 1.68. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Hub Group, Inc is estimated to release its next earnings report on Oct 26, 2017. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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Tribune Media Company (TRCO) finding value is an unloved sector

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Stock of Tribune Media Company (TRCO) opened today at $40.550 and are currently trading at $43.490 x 300. More than 950,907 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 1,089,460 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 3.54B. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $42.75 for Tribune Media Company (TRCO).

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Tribune Media Company (TRCO) currently has a Beta value of 1.82. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at Tribune Media Company (TRCO) current P/E ratio. Tribune Media Company (TRCO) currently has a PE ratio of 73.10. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Tribune Media Company (TRCO) beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Tribune Media Company (TRCO) EPS for the trailing twelve months was 0.56. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Tribune Media Company (TRCO) is estimated to release its next earnings report on Nov 7, 2017 – Nov 13, 2017. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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General Mills, Inc. (GIS) – ‘A Blessing In Disguise’ For Investors

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Stock of General Mills, Inc. (GIS) opened today at $52.11 and are currently trading at $52.88 x 200. More than 137,196 shares have exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 4,106,933 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 29.59B. Analyst are currently predicting a target of $54.22 for General Mills, Inc.

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. General Mills, Inc. (GIS) currently has a Beta value of 0.43. Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent.

Next, let’s take a look at General Mills, Inc current P/E ratio. General Mills, Inc. (GIS) currently has a PE ratio of 18.80. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at General Mills, Inc beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. General Mills, Inc EPS for the trailing twelve months was 2.77. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. General Mills, Inc is estimated to release its next earnings report on Dec 18, 2017 – Dec 22, 2017. It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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