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Payment Data Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:PYDS) could crash and here’s why

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We turn our attention to the charts today. Technical analysis. Its the artistic side of the analysis. Here, we deal with lines and angles and patterns. Here, we try to listen to the market; to hear its opinion of a stock, quite independent of the seeming facts of the business. Here, we look to paint a picture, as it were. Today’s subject in this exercise is Payment Data Systems, Inc. (PYDS).

Let?s start with a quick evaluation of relative volume measures. Here, we want to examine the degree to which traders, investors, and money managers are more or less interested over the past month in transacting in this security. At this point, this stock has been showing strong relative volume, which indicates interest among those participating in the market for shares of PYDS over the past month. That sets us up to look at relative performance of the stock along with range and volatility measures. This boils down to the concept of what is known as beta?

First off, we can readily state the facts on relative performance. PYDS has moved +0.98 over the past month or so. Over the trailing 100 days, the stock is outperforming the S&P 500 by 98.98. As to the point of beta, we can see the stock has been generally moving less than the rest of the market on a day to day basis. That is according to the 36-month beta score. Another way to look at this is through taking the standard deviation of returns calculated as representing a hypothetical buyer of the stock at a random point at a given average price during the specified period. That gives us a historical volatility score of 217.48%. Finally, in this class of data, we can look at the 20-day ATR as a percentage of the 20-day moving average, which gives us a natural volatility score of 10.63%.

Now, it?s time to look at trend and extent of movement. From a certain point of view, these are the natural opposites in technical analysis. On the one hand, we know experienced traders and technical manuals teach us that the trend is your friend.? However, at the same time, we know it?s wise to fade extreme, overdone movement. That posits a natural tension for analysts, and unfortunately, the best we can do is to look at the facts.

In the first place, the broad impact of money flows should be viewed through the tried-and-tested lens of moving average analysis. In this case, we look at the relative positioning of the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. In other words, if the 50-day moving average is trading above the 200-day, it is traditionally seen as a bullish chart trend. Conversely, if the 50-day moving average is trading below the 200-day, it is traditionally labeled a bearish trend or bearing. For PYDS, that adds up to a bullish designation, which suggests that flows have been working in an overall positive direction on the chart.

To counter that notion, we now turn to a look at mean reversion oscillators. Our key indicators of note attempt to score the action as to whether or not a security has pushed too far too fast, leading to a likelihood of some kind of reversion to the mean movement becoming highly probable.

There is a host of oscillating indicators that can offer up such an analytic perspective. We have learned to rely most on RSI and stochastics. Specifically, we look at the 14-day Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) and the 20-day ?fast stochastic?. For both of these measures, if we see a score above 75 (overbought) or below 25 (oversold), history suggests one is wise to expect some reversion to the mean. For PYDS, the 14-day RSI shows a score of 82.24%, while the 20-day fast stochastic shows a score of 42.71%.

We close todays analysis with a quick check of key levels. For our means, we like to quickly check the key Fibonacci retracement zone as well as the primary institutional long-term moving average (the 200-day simple average). In the case of is Payment Data Systems, Inc. (PYDS), the critical 38.2% level drawn off the 52-week high of $2.72 sits at $2.13. PYDS also has additional resistance above at the stock?s 200-day simple moving average, which sits at $ 1.49.

Hopefully, this analysis has offered up some useful perspective. We will catch up with this stock again soon.

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DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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Atlas Cloud Enterprises Inc (OTCMKTS:ATLEF) Could be Emerging as an Interesting Crypto Mining Pure Play

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Atlas Cloud Enterprises Inc (OTCMKTS:ATLEF) should not be overlooked by traders and investors interested in pure-play opportunities in the fascinating cryptocurrency mining market space. The company is an emerging player as, effectively, a pick-and-shovel play for entrepreneurs looking to become cryptocurrency mining professionals. The stock is beginning to pick up increasing liquidity in recent days as traders start to discover the story. The company has also been making some key moves, which has helped to foment new enthusiasm.

As a case in point, Atlas Cloud just announced the appointment of Mr. Charlie Kiser to the position of Chief Executive Officer. In addition, the company also announced that Fred Stearman, who was interim acting CEO, would be moving into the role of Chief Operating Officer.

Mr. Stearman notes, “I am delighted to welcome Charlie to the team and look forward to working closely with him as we move ahead with our strategic plans for 2018 and beyond. It’s an exciting time in our industry, and today’s announcement is further evidence of our commitment towards building a sector-leading concept and company aimed at increasing shareholder value.”

Atlas Cloud Enterprises Inc (OTCMKTS:ATLEF) offers tailored Colocation and flexible Cloud Computing options for small and medium businesses in Western Canada.

Basically, the company provides co-location, back-up/redundancy IT, telecom equipment, and cloud computing services to small and medium size businesses in Western Canada. The company offers committed space to startup technology companies, such as providing desks, chairs, high-speed Internet, meeting rooms, relevant workshops, and other office infrastructure required by such companies to grow and compete in the technology sector.

Atlas Cloud Enterprises Inc. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

According to company materials, Atlas Cloud Enterprises Inc. is a growth-oriented, CSE-listed company focusing on the business of providing co-location and backup/redundancy IT, telecom equipment and cloud computing. Atlas Cloud will provide customers with secure power access, cooling and bandwidth to ensure co-located, back-up or Cloud systems offer minimum risk of failure. Furthermore, Atlas is focused on the blockchain sector and digital currency mining. Atlas Cloud aims to become the lowest-cost producer of digital currency mining and blockchain infrastructure.

Atlas Cloud owns a facility currently undergoing preparations for use as a digital currency mining operation located in Electric City, WA. This location currently benefits from a dedicated low-cost energy source of 3.0 MW and the Company is seeking to significantly expand its operations with the development of additional facilities offering economical, high-yield energy infrastructure opportunities.

According to the release, “Mr. Kiser is a cryptocurrency and technology veteran. Along with his 20 years of technology experience, Charlie recognized and advocated for the disruptive potential of cryptocurrencies and blockchain in 2014 when he helped take the first pure-play bitcoin and blockchain company public in North America. As the earliest public crypto company, they leveraged both an operational and holding company strategy, investing in 4 crypto start-ups; GoCoin, covering payment processing; Coin Outlet, a bitcoin ATM and distribution network; Gem, a multi factor authentication wallet, and Expresscoin, a retail cryptocurrency outlet. The company built out one of the largest eCommerce platforms that accepted digital currencies, and ultimately moved into the emerging industrial cryptocurrency mining space.”

On the financial side, ATLEF has about $1.9M in cash on the books, which stands against about $124K in total current liabilities. The company has pulled in about $365k in trailing twelve month revenues, with growth on the top-line on a quarterly year/year basis running along at a healthy 35% clip. The market now values the stock at a market cap of $12.1M.

 

 

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) beta you simply cannot ignore

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Stock of DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) opened at $49.39 and last traded at $48.97 x 200. More than 3,209,696 shares exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 2,432,237 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 11.141B.

Fundamentals you simply cannot ignore

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) currently has a Beta value of 0.84 . Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent. Next, let’s take a look at DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc current P/E ratio. DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) currently has a PE ratio of N/A. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc EPS for the trailing twelve months was -6.76. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc is estimated to release its next earnings report on 12 / 2018 (N/A-Not know at this time). It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

The Analyst Chirp:

DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) has received an average target price from analysts of $66.64 amounting to a recommendation rating of Overweight. That comes from 17 different analysts. Perhaps, the driver for that assessment comes from the company’s valuations. Right now, we are looking at a median price-to-earnings ratio for this calendar year of 18.54. To give a sense of trend, the same data point on the estimate for next year is currently sitting at 16.77 times earnings. Drilling down a bit further, this quarter, we are looking at an average estimate from analysts for earnings per share level of 15.00. That shift to 15.00 heading into next quarter.

Other Stocks in same sector as DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY):

Other notable stocks in similar sector as to DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) to consider are {{companyAbbrExt_1}}, {{companyAbbrExt_2}}, {{companyAbbrExt_3}} that last traded at ${{Bid_1}}, ${{Bid_2}}. ${{Bid_3}} respectively.

 

 

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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How Well Do You Know Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) ?

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Stock of Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) opened at $41.05 and last traded at $41.09 x 700. More than 3,500,771 shares exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 9,726,262 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 61.233B.

Let’s take a look at how the stock has performed this year so far. Mondelez International, Inc has moved 1.43% in the last 5 days or -5.53% in the last 1 month. In long-term, Mondelez International, Inc has changed -3.31% in 3 months and  -6.45% in this year itself. Below is the chart to get a feel for the recent price action.

 

Fundamentals you simply cannot ignore

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) currently has a Beta value of 0.98 . Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent. Next, let’s take a look at Mondelez International, Inc current P/E ratio. Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) currently has a PE ratio of 21.55. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Mondelez International, Inc beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Mondelez International, Inc EPS for the trailing twelve months was 1.91. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Mondelez International, Inc is estimated to release its next earnings report on 12 / 2018 (N/A-Not know at this time). It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

The Analyst Chirp:

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) has received an average target price from analysts of $51.49 amounting to a recommendation rating of Buy. That comes from 24 different analysts. Perhaps, the driver for that assessment comes from the company’s valuations. Right now, we are looking at a median price-to-earnings ratio for this calendar year of 16.91. To give a sense of trend, the same data point on the estimate for next year is currently sitting at 15.54 times earnings. Drilling down a bit further, this quarter, we are looking at an average estimate from analysts for earnings per share level of 18.00. That shift to 18.00 heading into next quarter.

 

 

 

 

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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