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Checking the overall technical picture of Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ: ZION)

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Today’s object of technical analysis is Zions Bancorporation (ZION). After one does a thorough job of checking for chinks in the armor on the fundamental side, the work of due diligence is only just beginning. The next step is to make sure the technical character of the chart matches the story in an advantageous way. We will look at some of the key points in that analysis today for ZION.

First off, when looking at the overall directional impact of recent money flows, we will use the relative positioning of the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. In other words, if the 50-day moving average is trading above the 200-day, it is traditionally seen as a bullish chart trend. Conversely, if the 50-day moving average is trading below the 200-day, it is traditionally labeled a bearish trend or bearing.

In this case, for ZION, that adds up to a bullish designation, which suggests that flows have been working in an overall positive direction on the chart. With that established, the question now turns to whether or not key indicators suggest the action has pushed too far too fast, leading to a statistically likely mean-reversion probability going forward.

For that, we rely on our key overbought/oversold oscillators. There are many out there, but we prefer the 14-day Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) and the 20-day “fast stochastic”. For both of these measures, if we see a score above 75 (overbought) or below 25 (oversold), history suggests one is wise to expect some reversion to the mean. For ZION, the 14-day RSI shows a score of 59.24%, while the 20-day fast stochastic shows a score of 94.61%.

From there, we want to next turn our attention to relative performance and volatility scoring, or Beta. Zions Bancorporation has moved +0.74 over the past month or so. Over the trailing 100 days, the stock is outperforming the S&P 500 by 8.37.

This movement has come on a more volatile bearing from one day to the next relative to the broader market, according to the stock’s 36-month beta. In addition, we can see that the stock’s recent action has come on a historical volatility score of 24.25% (as indicated by taking the standard deviation of returns for a random trading input assuming buying the stock at a given average price during the specified period). Furthermore, the 20-day ATR as a percentage of the 20-day moving average grants another key view into relative volatility scoring. By that measure, we reach a score of 2.02%.

That brings us neatly to an examination of key levels of support and resistance on the chart. For this, we generally bias toward range markets, fib levels, and moving averages. In any of these cases, it’s important to understand that the concept of support and resistance is a bit like what we might call “social gravity”. It’s a game theory concept. It’s the point where people assume other people will be acting.

Keynes called this type of logic the beauty contest. The idea is based on a fictional newspaper contest in which people are asked to pick which of a series of pictures of women’s faces will be the most popular picks for “most beautiful”. Given that the winner will be someone who guesses what other people picked the most, the goal has nothing to do with picking the most beautiful face. It is figuring out which picture the most other people will think the most other people will think is the most beautiful. This is called “recursive logic”. And it forms the basis for key support and resistance in markets as well.

In short, popular meeting points on the chart tend to be established either where they have been before (range extremes), or at key Fibonacci levels or moving averages. In this case, the critical 38.2% level drawn off the 52-week high of $48.33 sits at $41.19. ZION also has additional resistance above at the stock’s 200-day simple moving average, which sits at $ 42.95.

Lastly, we need to quickly cover relative volume. Here, we want to examine relative volume measures to get a feel for interest in the stock of late. Right now, this stock has been showing weak relative volume, which indicates lack of interest among those making a market for shares of the stock, and that should be seen as a key factor in drawing conclusions about your level of interest as well.

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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Facebook, Inc. (FB) beta you simply cannot ignore

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. Stock of Facebook, Inc. (FB) opened at $177.30 and last traded at $178.41 x 200. More than 2,643,177 shares exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 16,216,728 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 518.208B.

Let’s take a look at how the stock has performed this year so far. Facebook, Inc has moved -0.98% in the last 5 days or -0.68% in the last 1 month. In long-term, Facebook, Inc has changed 4.33% in 3 months and  47.94% in this year itself. Below is the chart to get a feel for the recent price action.

 

Fundamentals you simply cannot ignore

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Facebook, Inc. (FB) currently has a Beta value of 1.21 . Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent. Next, let’s take a look at Facebook, Inc current P/E ratio. Facebook, Inc. (FB) currently has a PE ratio of 34.55. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Facebook, Inc beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Facebook, Inc EPS for the trailing twelve months was 5.16. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Facebook, Inc is estimated to release its next earnings report on 12 / 2017 (N/A-Not know at this time). It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

The Analyst Chirp:

Facebook, Inc. (FB) has received an average target price from analysts of $207.41 amounting to a recommendation rating of Buy. That comes from 46 different analysts. Perhaps, the driver for that assessment comes from the company’s valuations. Right now, we are looking at a median price-to-earnings ratio for this calendar year of 30.44. To give a sense of trend, the same data point on the estimate for next year is currently sitting at 26.84 times earnings. Drilling down a bit further, this quarter, we are looking at an average estimate from analysts for earnings per share level of 37.00. That shift to 25.00 heading into next quarter.

 

 

 

 

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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Investors Should Consider Apple Inc. (AAPL) Beta Values Before Final Decision

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. Stock of Apple Inc. (AAPL) opened at $172.50 and last traded at $173.400 x 500. More than 5,069,667 shares exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 28,052,767 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 886.952B.

Let’s take a look at how the stock has performed this year so far. Apple Inc has moved 2.03% in the last 5 days or 0.97% in the last 1 month. In long-term, Apple Inc has changed 9.15% in 3 months and  49.16% in this year itself. Below is the chart to get a feel for the recent price action.

 

Fundamentals you simply cannot ignore

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. Apple Inc. (AAPL) currently has a Beta value of 0.99 . Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent. Next, let’s take a look at Apple Inc current P/E ratio. Apple Inc. (AAPL) currently has a PE ratio of 18.76. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at Apple Inc beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. Apple Inc EPS for the trailing twelve months was 9.210. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. Apple Inc is estimated to release its next earnings report on 9 / 2018 (N/A-Not know at this time). It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

The Analyst Chirp:

Apple Inc. (AAPL) has received an average target price from analysts of $190.70 amounting to a recommendation rating of Overweight. That comes from 39 different analysts. Perhaps, the driver for that assessment comes from the company’s valuations. Right now, we are looking at a median price-to-earnings ratio for this calendar year of 15.00. To give a sense of trend, the same data point on the estimate for next year is currently sitting at 14.11 times earnings. Drilling down a bit further, this quarter, we are looking at an average estimate from analysts for earnings per share level of 32.00. That shift to 31.00 heading into next quarter.

 

 

 

 

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Could Be In For A Major Breakout

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. Stock of PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) opened at $74.08 and last traded at $75.39 x 200. More than 1,483,443 shares exchanged hands compared to an average daily volume of 9,389,196 shares. At the current pps, the market capitalization stands at 89.771B.

Let’s take a look at how the stock has performed this year so far. PayPal Holdings, Inc has moved 1.36% in the last 5 days or -3.87% in the last 1 month. In long-term, PayPal Holdings, Inc has changed 20.00% in 3 months and  88.90% in this year itself. Below is the chart to get a feel for the recent price action.

 

Fundamentals you simply cannot ignore

Investors try to use stocks with high beta values to quickly recoup their investments after sharp market losses. PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) currently has a Beta value of 1.21 . Beta is a measurement of a stock’s price fluctuations, which is often called volatility and is used by investors to gauge how quickly a stock’s price will rise or fall. A stock with a beta of greater than 1.0 is riskier and has greater price fluctuations, while stocks with beta values of less than 1.0 are steadier and generally larger companies. Beta is often measured against the S&P; 500 index. An S&P; 500 stock with a beta of 2.0 produced a 20 percent increase in returns during a period of time when the S&P; 500 Index grew only 10 percent. This same measurement also means the stock would lose 20 percent when the market dropped by only 10 percent. Next, let’s take a look at PayPal Holdings, Inc current P/E ratio. PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) currently has a PE ratio of 58.35. PE ratio is an important parameter to look at when trading a stock mostly because it is easy to calculate. There are a couple of ways to calculate PE ratio either by dividing share price by earnings per share or dividing the market cap by net income. It is important to note that the earnings are usually taken from the trailing twelve months (TTM). Nevertheless, P/E tells us how much an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a company’s earnings. The long-term average P/E is around 15, so on average, investors are willing to pay $15 for every dollar of earnings. Another useful way to look at this: Turn the P/E ratio around to look at the E/P ratio, which when expressed as a percentage gives us the earnings yield. For instance: 1/15 gives us an earnings yield of 6.67%.

While we have already looked at PayPal Holdings, Inc beta and P/E ratio, the EPS cannot be ignored. PayPal Holdings, Inc EPS for the trailing twelve months was 1.28. Traders and investors often use earnings per share (TTM) to determine a company’s profitability for the past year. So in essence, EPS is the amount of a company’s net income per share of common stock. Earnings per share equal the company’s net income less any dividends paid on preferred stock divided by the weighted average number of common stock shares outstanding during the year. PayPal Holdings, Inc is estimated to release its next earnings report on 12 / 2017 (N/A-Not know at this time). It would be interesting to see how the earnings fair out considering the recent developments.

The Analyst Chirp:

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) has received an average target price from analysts of $79.77 amounting to a recommendation rating of Overweight. That comes from 47 different analysts. Perhaps, the driver for that assessment comes from the company’s valuations. Right now, we are looking at a median price-to-earnings ratio for this calendar year of 38.99. To give a sense of trend, the same data point on the estimate for next year is currently sitting at 32.26 times earnings. Drilling down a bit further, this quarter, we are looking at an average estimate from analysts for earnings per share level of 44.00. That shift to 36.00 heading into next quarter.

 

 

 

 

DISCLOSURE: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors, and do not represent the views of argusjournal.com. Readers should not consider statements made by the author as formal recommendations and should consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. To read our full disclosure, please click HERE

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